P-TRADING / V1.8

Decision trace

LIVE EXECUTION DISABLEDSYNTHETIC / NO ACCOUNT CONNECTION
04:01:30.012 UTC
VenueOKXEnvironmentSYNTHETICStrategyTREND_POSITIONMarket dataFRESH / 12 msFeed / WSSYNTHETIC / NO LIVE SOCKETRiskOKKill switchCLEAR (DEMO)

Orders

Order / venue / symbolSide / intentPriceQty / filledStatusSubmitted / updatedAck msState / scoreq / q*Trace
BTC-USDT-order-900OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER100,0120.01 / 0WORKING04:01:30.012 UTC / 04:01:30.012 UTC12TREND_POSITION / 0.88990.06 / 0.2305
BTC-USDT-order-880OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER100,009.40.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:28.012 UTC / 04:01:28.412 UTC12TREND_POSITION / 0.930.05 / 0.233
BTC-USDT-order-860OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER100,008.90.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:26.012 UTC / 04:01:26.412 UTC12TREND_POSITION / 0.93940.04 / 0.2336
BTC-USDT-order-840OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER100,005.30.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:24.012 UTC / 04:01:24.412 UTC12TREND_POSITION / 0.91780.03 / 0.2323
BTC-USDT-order-820OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER100,004.20.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:22.012 UTC / 04:01:22.412 UTC12TREND_POSITION / 0.8660.02 / 0.2288
BTC-USDT-order-800OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER100,002.70.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:20.012 UTC / 04:01:20.412 UTC12TREND_POSITION / 0.78560.01 / 0.2221
BTC-USDT-order-780OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER100,000.40.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:18.012 UTC / 04:01:18.412 UTC12DIRECTIONAL_MM / 0.67940 / 0.2101
BTC-USDT-order-760OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER99,999.40.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:16.012 UTC / 04:01:16.412 UTC12DIRECTIONAL_MM / 0.5507-0.01 / 0.1895
BTC-USDT-order-740OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER99,993.80.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:14.012 UTC / 04:01:14.412 UTC12DIRECTIONAL_MM / 0.4039-0.02 / 0.1553
BTC-USDT-order-720OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER99,987.10.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:12.012 UTC / 04:01:12.412 UTC12NEUTRAL_MM / 0.2437-0.03 / 0.1031
BTC-USDT-order-700OKX / BTC-USDTBUY / MAKER99,9820.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:10.012 UTC / 04:01:10.412 UTC12NEUTRAL_MM / 0.0755-0.04 / 0.0338
BTC-USDT-order-680OKX / BTC-USDTSELL / MAKER100,023.60.01 / 0.01FILLED04:01:08.012 UTC / 04:01:08.412 UTC12NEUTRAL_MM / -0.0951-0.03 / -0.0424

Fills & markout

Forward labels only after observation arrives
Fill / orderSide / liquidityPrice / qtyFee / rebateAck msState / scoreInventory before / afterFill time100ms1s5s30s1min
BTC-USDT-fill-884BTC-USDT-order-880BUY / MAKER100,009.4 / 0.0050.05 / 012TREND_POSITION / 0.92440.055 / 0.0604:01:28.412 UTC5.54896.5276PENDINGPENDINGPENDING
BTC-USDT-fill-882BTC-USDT-order-880BUY / MAKER100,009.4 / 0.0050.05 / 012TREND_POSITION / 0.92740.05 / 0.05504:01:28.212 UTC5.31226.3036PENDINGPENDINGPENDING
BTC-USDT-fill-864BTC-USDT-order-860BUY / MAKER100,008.9 / 0.0050.05 / 012TREND_POSITION / 0.940.045 / 0.0504:01:26.412 UTC3.8054.8111PENDINGPENDINGPENDING
BTC-USDT-fill-862BTC-USDT-order-860BUY / MAKER100,008.9 / 0.0050.05 / 012TREND_POSITION / 0.93990.04 / 0.04504:01:26.212 UTC3.57244.5929PENDINGPENDINGPENDING
BTC-USDT-fill-844BTC-USDT-order-840BUY / MAKER100,005.3 / 0.0050.05 / 012TREND_POSITION / 0.92460.035 / 0.0404:01:24.412 UTC5.15056.155410.6276PENDINGPENDING
BTC-USDT-fill-842BTC-USDT-order-840BUY / MAKER100,005.3 / 0.0050.05 / 012TREND_POSITION / 0.92140.03 / 0.03504:01:24.212 UTC4.93445.945810.4036PENDINGPENDING
BTC-USDT-fill-824BTC-USDT-order-820BUY / MAKER100,004.2 / 0.0050.05 / 012TREND_POSITION / 0.87870.025 / 0.0304:01:22.412 UTC4.06435.03689.5111PENDINGPENDING
BTC-USDT-fill-822BTC-USDT-order-820BUY / MAKER100,004.2 / 0.0050.05 / 012TREND_POSITION / 0.87250.02 / 0.02504:01:22.212 UTC3.86754.83269.2929PENDINGPENDING
BTC-USDT-fill-804BTC-USDT-order-800BUY / MAKER100,002.7 / 0.0050.05 / 012TREND_POSITION / 0.80390.015 / 0.0204:01:20.412 UTC3.52044.42678.7554PENDINGPENDING
BTC-USDT-fill-802BTC-USDT-order-800BUY / MAKER100,002.7 / 0.0050.05 / 012TREND_POSITION / 0.79490.01 / 0.01504:01:20.212 UTC3.33934.22568.5458PENDINGPENDING
100ms markout
5.5489USDT/unit
1s markout
6.5276USDT/unit
5s markout
PENDINGUSDT/unit
30s markout
PENDINGUSDT/unit
1min markout
PENDINGUSDT/unit

Decision record

Synthetic signals -> continuous inventory target -> inventory penalty -> maker quote constraints. Not a source strategy recommendation.
BTC-USDT-decision-900 / 04:01:30.012 UTC / source provenance
{
  "id": "BTC-USDT-decision-900",
  "timestamp": 1789185690012,
  "source": "SYNTHETIC_CONTROL_V1.8_UNCALIBRATED",
  "strategyId": "synthetic-unified-mm",
  "venue": "OKX",
  "symbol": "BTC-USDT",
  "market": {
    "best_bid": 100015.8664497799,
    "best_ask": 100017.06644977992,
    "bid_size": 27.29706182601587,
    "ask_size": 9.155079341253126,
    "mid": 100016.46644977991,
    "spread": 1.2000000000116415,
    "spread_bps": 0.11998024351462,
    "obi": 0.4976931917802606,
    "microprice": 100016.76506569498
  },
  "signals": {
    "ofi": 389.65514347597275,
    "ofi_window_ms": 1000,
    "tfi": {
      "100": -1,
      "1000": 0.6003169272826834,
      "5000": 0.7204330155307381,
      "30000": 0.3291247704251262
    },
    "tfi_notional": {
      "100": -1,
      "1000": 0.600316706105918,
      "5000": 0.720431926554603,
      "30000": 0.32914024585744767
    },
    "momentum": 0.889936709748353,
    "breakout": 1,
    "volatility_bps": 2.1005756803142335,
    "trend_score": 0.889936709748353
  },
  "state": {
    "state": "TREND_POSITION",
    "direction": "LONG",
    "previous": "DIRECTIONAL_MM",
    "previousDirection": "LONG",
    "transitionedAt": 1789185678412,
    "reason": "Synthetic TrendScore 0.703 crossed entry / reversal threshold",
    "thresholds": {
      "directionalEnter": 0.3,
      "directionalExit": 0.1,
      "trendEnter": 0.7,
      "trendExit": 0.2
    }
  },
  "control": {
    "fair_price": 100027.12128233934,
    "reservation_price": 100037.35056184646,
    "target_inventory": 0.23048799178527568,
    "actual_inventory": 0.06,
    "inventory_error": 0.17048799178527568,
    "max_inventory": 0.25,
    "inventory_utilization": 0.24,
    "inventory_adjustment": 10.22927950711654,
    "quote_skew": 10.22927950711654,
    "half_spread": 25.255597216340284,
    "bid_quote": 100012,
    "ask_quote": 100062.70000000001,
    "execution_urgency": "REBALANCE",
    "fair_attribution": [
      {
        "source": "OBI",
        "priceDisplacement": 1.4933254325392293
      },
      {
        "source": "OFI",
        "priceDisplacement": 1.9986794549716658
      },
      {
        "source": "TFI",
        "priceDisplacement": 3.6024946690082076
      },
      {
        "source": "Momentum",
        "priceDisplacement": 3.560333002918947
      }
    ],
    "spread_attribution": [
      {
        "source": "Base / synthetic fee allowance",
        "priceDisplacement": 20.00329328995598
      },
      {
        "source": "Volatility",
        "priceDisplacement": 5.252303926384304
      }
    ]
  },
  "rationale": "Synthetic signals -> continuous inventory target -> inventory penalty -> maker quote constraints. Not a source strategy recommendation."
}
Frozen synthetic L1 / fills / uncalibrated illustrative controlEvidence & research gates
Control-plane event archive
telemetry.receivedPTFT

ptft.paper.v1 normalized; executionIntent=NOT_DERIVED

recommendation.createdSupervisor

Review BTC trend / MM common exposure

telemetry.receivedPMMT

Synthetic adverse-selection state moved to watch

strategy.transitionedRegistry

No lifecycle transition; evidence unchanged

risk.blockedPolicy

Synthetic live proposal rejected: LIVE_DISABLED